Why this module matters

  • Shows why small events can have outsized effects

    Understand non-linear impacts, fat-tail risks, and fragility, and why outcomes aren’t always proportional to their causes.

  • Reframes uncertainty as opportunity, not just threat

    Learn to spot the upside of ambiguity, where unpredictability opens the door to innovation and growth.

  • Builds your own comfort with risk

    Reflect on your own attitudes towards uncertainty and map the risks and rewards specific to your own context.

Learning outcomes

A detailed breakdown of the main learning outcomes for this module

  • Differentiate between linear and non-linear risks and rewards

  • Examine a specific situation through the lens of various types of risks

  • Reflect on your own attitudes towards uncertainty

  • Create a map of utopia and dystopia, and by doing so identify your own propensities towards risks and rewards

Practise with hands-on exercises

In this exercise kit, you will map a real uncertain situation in your own life as both a threat and a possibility to see what wisdom emerges, then work with your team to trace a shared challenge back through the events that shaped it and imagine its wildly good and wildly bad futures to reveal what matters most right now.

Instructor(s)

Marco Valente

Complexity expert

Marco helps leaders and teams, at the highest organizational levels, find their way forward in complex, messy challenges. Through a flexible array of simple practices, he will help you with approaches that are easy to use and that help you develop bigger minds over time. His fluency in facilitation provides us flexible design options to create meaningful leadership development experiences, and in creating the right dialogue formats for you to get great work done, find your answer in complexity, all the while learning and developing as a team and as leaders over time.